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Saturday, September 24, 2022

Dow Jones Technical Analysis: Negative Pressures Multiply

Technically, the bearish corrective trend dominates the movement of the indicator in the short term and along a slope line, as shown in the attached chart for a period (daily).

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued its decline in its recent trading at the intraday levels.
  • The index registered record losses for the third consecutive day, falling by -0.96%, losing about 308.12 points, and to settling at the level of 31,790.88 at the end of the session.
  •  During Monday’s trading, the index fell by -0.57 %.
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Data showed US job vacancies rose to 11.2 million in July, up from a revised 11 million in the previous month. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index jumped to 103.2 in August from a reading of 95.3 in July.

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20 Index also slowed in 20 cities to 18.6% year-over-year in June, down from 20.5% the previous month.

Meanwhile, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin warned on Tuesday that a recession is a “clear danger” in the process of controlling inflation.

“We are committed to getting inflation under control and there is a way to get there,” he said in a discussion in the West Virginia Chamber of Commerce.

While Atlanta Federal Reserve Chairman Rafael Bostic said on Tuesday that policy makers know they have a “future fight” to bring down inflation, but they are committed to the task. In an article posted on the bank’s website, Bostic said the Fed is committed to keeping the economy “as strong as possible.”

New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday that the US central bank would likely need to raise the interest rate “somewhat above” 3.5% and keep it there until the end of 2023.

Technical Outlook

Technically, the bearish corrective trend dominates the movement of the indicator in the short term and along a slope line, as shown in the attached chart for a period (daily). We notice the continuation of negative signals on the relative strength indicators, despite their stability in oversold areas.

In addition to the above, we find that the index has crossed in its trading yesterday the support of its simple moving average for the previous 50 days. That is, doubling the negative pressures on its upcoming trading.

Therefore, our expectations indicate a further decline for the index during its upcoming trading session.  The index is expected to settle below the 32,272.65 resistance level, to targeting the 31,000 support level.

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